Samsung Electronics, the South Korean chip giant, is anticipating a significant decline in operating profit for the third quarter of this year. The company recently released guidance stating that it expects a 78% drop in operating profit compared to the same period last year. This article will analyze the implications of this news and explore the factors contributing to Samsung’s projections.

According to Samsung’s guidance, the company anticipates generating approximately 67 trillion South Korean won ($50.02 billion) in revenue for the third quarter. This represents a decline compared to the previous year’s figure of 76.78 trillion won. Additionally, Samsung expects its operating profit to amount to around 2.4 trillion won, a significant decrease from the 10.85 trillion won recorded in the same quarter last year.

Quarter-on-Quarter Performance

While the third-quarter guidance shows a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5% from the second quarter’s revenue figure of 60.01 trillion won, it is essential to note that the operating profit has more than tripled since then, growing from 670 billion won to 2.4 trillion won. Although this increase is positive news for Samsung, the year-on-year decline remains a cause for concern.

Before the release of Samsung’s guidance, analysts had predicted an operating profit of 2.3 trillion won for the September quarter, aligning closely with the company’s projection. However, experts had anticipated slightly higher revenue of 67.8 trillion won, a decrease of 11.6%. Following the news, Samsung’s shares experienced a surge of 3.16% and became the largest gainer on the South Korean Kospi index. This positive investor response reflected confidence in Samsung’s ability to navigate the challenging market conditions.

Challenges in the Chip and Smartphone Industry

As the world’s largest producer of memory chips and a significant player in the smartphone market, Samsung faces challenges in both sectors. The current weak demand environment has resulted in a price slump in memory chips, impacting the company’s profits. To address this issue, Samsung has implemented production cuts to rebalance the market and stimulate a “price recovery” expected to become meaningful from the second quarter of 2024.

In terms of the geopolitical landscape, there is some positive news for Samsung. Recent developments allow the company, along with its counterpart SK Hynix, to ship U.S. semiconductor manufacturing equipment to their China factories indefinitely without separate U.S. approvals. While certain restrictions remain in place, this decision could be advantageous for Samsung as it enables them to enhance their capacity until at least 2025.

Samsung Electronics’ projected 78% drop in operating profit for the third quarter serves as a reminder of the challenges faced by the company in the chip and smartphone market. However, the positive investor response and the potential “price recovery” indicate that Samsung is taking proactive measures to adapt to the ever-changing industry dynamics. With the geopolitical restrictions somewhat eased, Samsung has an opportunity to optimize its capacity and strengthen its position in the market. These developments will be worth monitoring in the coming quarters as Samsung continues to navigate through this challenging business landscape.

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